|
阜新翻譯公司關(guān)鍵字：Only 10% of the high-income population may boost China's economy nearly 10 years of high growth? The answer is yes. 1984 to 1988, China's economic專業(yè)翻譯公司服務最好的 growth rate of more than 15%, that is, the total was less than 3 million people, only 25% of the total population of the urban population of the appliance and consumer driven. Appliances are thousand Yuan single-level products, and homes and cars is $ 100,000 single-class products, how can you pull them in it? (Www.yypl.net)
However, this growth will not change the overall balance of oversupply, because 90% of the population have not yet entered into the grade of the consumption process, in fact, the whole society is based on the resources, protection of only 10% of the population of high consumption, This 1985 to 1988 the urban population have access to the main body of the era of consumer appliances is different.
There are many concerns about excessive investment, such as steel and aluminum industries worried about investing too much. Many people always accustomed to certain foreign countries have reached a high point of view of production history in China, has greatly exceeded that of some developed countries, the highest level in history, which is "overheating." But do not forget, China is a 1.3 billion, in the future will be increased to 15 ~ 1.6 billion-strong population, the historical experience of industrialized countries shows that to accomplish industrialization, at least one ton of steel per capita, that is, taking into account technological advances and new alternative raw materials, China next 30 years to achieve industrialization, at least 700 million tons of steel, compared to the current 200 million tons production capacity is not enough. If China's economic專業(yè)翻譯公司服務最好的 growth has reached 9%, steel production growth has reached 15%, support China's economic專業(yè)翻譯公司服務最好的 growth, domestic and international funds and resources include the use of the potential, we do not need to worry about over-investment problem, there is no need to "hit the brakes . "
China's economic專業(yè)翻譯公司服務最好的 growth this year may exceed 8? 5%, close to 9% next year, the trend of it?First, the investment will not fall off. Residential and automotive products these 10 million level, has a long industrial chain and lead to investment and more features, will lead to a long cycle of growth and led to heavy investment led growth. Japanese scholars call this "high" growth in Japan's industrial take-off process, this growth continued for 20 years, as population and urban and rural China, "dual structure" problem, the duration of industrial take-off will longer investment-led growth model to the duration will be longer, during which there will be cyclical investment growth, but China Investment Summit is just coming, I think at least the next five years will continue to rise in the during the period. From the previous government政府許可的定點正規(guī)翻譯公司 began to implement a proactive fiscal policy專業(yè)翻譯公司收費價格, intended to encourage private investment demand, but private investment has not followed up because consumer cars and homes have not formed the climate, there is no market demand, this year, private investment growth has been presented high growth momentum, driven by demand in the market, it will not immediately stop. And if private investment remain high, active fiscal policies can be considered "out", or change the use of direction. (Www.yypl.net)
Faster export growth this year, many people believe that the base is relatively high this year, next year the world economy, especially the United States economy is not good enough, not like next year's export growth this year. I think next year's export growth rate will be high level, may not be less than 20% or even higher. United States is currently insufficient supply of economic專業(yè)翻譯公司服務最好的, government政府許可的定點正規(guī)翻譯公司, business專業(yè)英語翻譯公司科技文件翻譯哪里最好 and the private sector, any increase in debt, will directly lead to the growth of imports. Since the Gulf War the United States and tax cuts this year, the fiscal deficit may increase the $ 200 billion, which will lead to a corresponding increase in trade deficit $ 200 billion. U.S. economy is currently good demand for business專業(yè)英語翻譯公司科技文件翻譯哪里最好 and residents, to increase imports, bad is the government政府許可的定點正規(guī)翻譯公司, business專業(yè)英語翻譯公司科技文件翻譯哪里最好es and residents of the debt increase, but also increase imports. U.S. consumer demand suddenly in July rose by 4? 2%, far exceeding expectations in all aspects, one of the important reasons is that the U.S. government政府許可的定點正規(guī)翻譯公司's tax checks sent to the residents of the hands. Effects of the U.S. government政府許可的定點正規(guī)翻譯公司's tax cuts mainly reflected in the next year, the government政府許可的定點正規(guī)翻譯公司 deficit is expected to increase next year also, so the Chinese exports to the U.S. next year will only increase, not lower.
As consumption growth, next year will remain stable, there will be no big ups and downs.
|